MUSIC CITY RODEO

Ticket Sales Comparison

2026 DATA AS OF JAN 22
2025 Final
~35,000
SOLD OUT • $3M+
2026 Capacity
36,300
12,100/night × 3 nights
2026 Current
3,527
$433K • Wk 7 of 24
Current Velocity
~75/day
Need 260/day to sell out
2026 ATP
$122.81
+6% vs 2025

2025 vs 2026 Ticket Sales

View:
Overlays:
💰
2025 Ad Spend
📍
Marketing Events
2025: 12-week window (Mar 5 → May 29) | 2026: 24-week window (Dec 9 → May 28)
2025 Actual
2026 Actual
2026 Projected
WEEK
2025 SOLD
2026 SOLD
GAP

Key Moments & Press

Date Event Impact Details
2025 TIMELINE
Mar 4 Lineup Announced PRESS Massive buzz Billboard, Rolling Stone, MusicRow, iHeart • Tim as co-founder with Down Home
Mar 5-6 Presale Burst MILESTONE +9,080 tix Jelly Roll drove 4,179 day 1 (43%) • Tim 2,567 • Reba 2,334
Mar 20 Hit 50% Sold MILESTONE ~15,500 tix Jelly Roll at ~60%, strong momentum
Apr 27 Platinums 71% Sold $140K lift Premium pricing success, holds being pared
May 8 "Trailblazer" Debuts at ACMs VIRAL 2.6M streams Reba + Miranda + Lainey Wilson • Reba's biggest streaming debut EVER
May 17 25,000th Ticket MILESTONE $2.7M gross 650 comps sent, Family Packs launched
May 23 Hit $3M MILESTONE 26,590 sold 5K more to go, 90% comps out
May 29 Reba Night: SURPRISE MOMENT VIRAL Social explosion Miranda & Lainey came out for "Trailblazer" • American Songwriter IG • "surprise, surprise, surprise"
May 30 Jelly Roll: "No Nashville Until 2027" VIRAL TikTok viral Announced he wants to be first act at new Nissan Stadium (60K capacity)
May 31 Tim's Night: Passed $1M Gross MILESTONE $1M+ single night Final night, sold out
May 29-31 ALL 3 NIGHTS SOLD OUT WALK-UP ~35,000 final ~8,400 (24%) in final 6 days • $50K raised for Monroe Carell Children's Hospital
Aug 29 "Trailblazer (Live from MCR)" Video PRESS Long tail Official performance video released on YouTube
2026 TIMELINE
Dec 4 Lineup Announced PRESS NFR timing Tim announced at Vegas residency during Wrangler NFR week
Dec 5 Presale Begins Upgraded to Cinch Playoff Series Rodeo (elevated PRCA status)
Dec 9 Public On-Sale MILESTONE ~2,000 tix 24-week selling window (vs 12 weeks in 2025)
Jan 22 Current Position 3,527 tix $433K • Wk 7 of 24 • Charley Crockett lagging at 670 (19%)

2026 By Artist

Miranda Lambert
Thu, May 28
Sold
1,436
Revenue
$199K
ATP
$138
Share
41%
Charley Crockett
Fri, May 29
Sold
670
Revenue
$68K
ATP
$102
Share
19%
Jon Pardi
Sat, May 30
Sold
1,421
Revenue
$166K
ATP
$117
Share
40%
2025 Week-by-Week
WkDateSoldRevenueNotes
1Mar 5-69,080$1.02MPresale burst
2Mar 12-18~15,500~$1.5MHit 50%
5Apr 2-818,000$2.1M
6Apr 9-1518,997$2.2MEventelect
9Apr 30-May 622,753$2.65M
10May 7-13~25,000$2.7M25K milestone
11May 14-2026,590$3.0M$3M!
12May 29~35,000$3M+SOLD OUT
2026 Progress
WkDateSoldRevenueNotes
1Dec 9-15~2,000~$250KOn-sale
5Jan 6-123,151$388K
6Jan 13-193,216$396K
7Jan 20-263,527$433KNOW
— Projected (current velocity + 24% walk-up) —
12Feb 24-Mar 2~5,900~$725K2025 show week equiv
18Apr 7-13~8,500~$1M
24May 28~13,500~$1.7M+24% walk-up

Target Audience & Geographic Reach

2025 Audience Demographics (Meta Ads)
Age GroupReachIndex
35-44130,688HIGHEST
25-34119,449Strong
45-54118,744Strong
55-6491,638Good
18-2462,490Moderate
65+51,713Lower
PRIMARY DEMO
Core: 25-54 (68% of reach) • Sweet spot: 35-44
Geographic Drive Markets
PRIMARY MARKET
Nashville Metro
2M+ population • 16M visitors/yr
DRIVE RADIUS
4-5 Hours
Atlanta, Memphis, Louisville, Birmingham
SECONDARY MARKETS (4-5 HR DRIVE)
Atlanta (4hr) Memphis (3hr) Louisville (3hr) Birmingham (3hr) Knoxville (3hr) Chattanooga (2hr) Lexington KY
2026 OPPORTUNITY
Texas market NOT tapped in 2025 • Charley Crockett is FROM Texas • Target Dallas, Houston, Austin for his night
Artist Audience Profiles: Who Should Be Targeted
Miranda Lambert
Demo: Women 25-54, established country fans
Social: 4.7M IG, 6.2M FB, 1.2M TikTok
Spotify: 15.2M monthly listeners
Appeal: Female empowerment, authentic country
Charley Crockett
Demo: Americana/indie crowd, 25-45
Social: 400K IG, 200K FB (niche audience)
Spotify: 2.8M monthly listeners
Appeal: Texas roots, classic country revival, cult following
⚠️ Different audience than mainstream country - needs Americana/Texas channels
Jon Pardi
Demo: Traditional country, 25-50
Social: 1.2M IG, 2M FB, 700K TikTok
Spotify: 8.4M monthly listeners
Appeal: Neotraditional country, California roots

2025 Marketing & Advertising Performance

Paid Impressions
60M+
All channels combined
Digital Ad Spend
$75K
Mar 1 - Jun 7
Digital Revenue
$575K
From digital ads
Digital ROAS
7.6x
758% return
Link Clicks
125K
→ 558 purchases
OOH Impressions
43M
Billboards + wild posting
Digital Ad Spend by Channel
ChannelSpend% of Total
Meta (FB/IG)$44,92860%
Google (Search + PMax)$17,50723%
TikTok$7,23410%
StackAdapt (Programmatic)$5,4837%
TOTAL DIGITAL$75,152100%
Media Mix (60M+ Paid Impressions)
ChannelImpressionsNotes
Out of Home43MStatic + digital billboards, wild posting
Social/Digital10M+Meta, TikTok, YouTube, BandsInTown
Radio3M+Cumulus, Audacy, iHeart + satellite tour
Streaming Audio2.5MSpotify, AudioGo
TV/CTV1.6MLocal + Hulu, Disney
PrintTennessean, Nashville Scene, ACM Tempo
Audience Demographics & Top Performers

REACH BY AGE GROUP

AgeReachIndex
35-44130,688Highest
25-34119,449
45-54118,744
55-6491,638
18-2462,490
65+51,713

TOP PERFORMING ADS (BY PURCHASES)

CreativeSpendPurchasesROAS
Tim McGraw video liner$4352721.8x
3-artist static (FB/IG)$4422622.1x
Reba video liner$4472215.2x
3-artist carousel$6732012.9x
Headliner Marketing Activations
Reba McEntire
Night 1 • May 29
ACM AWARDS HOST
60th ACM Awards host + "Trailblazer" debut
VIRAL MOMENT
Surprise Miranda + Lainey at MCR • 2.6M streams
RODEO HERITAGE
Discovered at 1974 National Finals Rodeo
DIGITAL ADS
Video liners • Interview content • 22 purchases
Jelly Roll
Night 2 • May 30 • Nashville Native
GOODNIGHT NASHVILLE
Official Bar of MCR • After parties • Giveaways
PRESALE DRIVER
43% of Day 1 (4,179 tickets) • Highest demand
VIRAL TIKTOK
"No Nashville until 2027" Nissan Stadium moment
PROMO VIDEO
Bar scene with cowboys • Video liners
Tim McGraw
Night 3 • May 31 • Co-Founder
SATELLITE RADIO TOUR
Tim + MCR Cowboys • National reach
"KING RODEO" RELEASE
Live from MCR • Aug 1 release • Music video
ORIGINAL CONTENT
"This or That" • Ed Sheeran callout • Video liners
TOP AD PERFORMER
Video liner: 27 purchases • 21.8x ROAS
Key Partnerships & Activations
TV SERIES
Wild Rides
6 eps • 50M homes
CHARITY
Monroe Carell
$50K+ raised
OPRY
Grand Ole Opry
2 cowboy events
GIVEAWAY
Ford Bronco
Activation
SPORTS
Predators Games
OOH at Bridgestone
INFLUENCER
XPLR Nash
Mary Lawless Lee
CONTENT
Hot Ones w/ Ernest
Cowboy interviews
CMA AWARDS
Program Ad
Newsletter + giveaways
Radio Coverage: Nashville + Extended Markets
Nashville Metro Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga Cookeville Jackson TN Maryville Lexington KY Bowling Green KY Owensboro KY Horse Cave KY Birmingham AL Florence AL Bristol VA

Partners: Cumulus, Audacy, iHeart • Flyaway promotions + spot buys

Key Takeaways: What Drove 2025 Success

REBA: ACM + TRAILBLAZER

Hosted 60th ACMs, debuted "Trailblazer" with Miranda + Lainey. 2.6M streams first week (her biggest ever). Surprise reprise at MCR went viral.

Rodeo heritage: discovered at 1974 NFR singing national anthem.

JELLY ROLL: HOMETOWN HERO

Nashville native drove 43% of presale day 1. Goodnight Nashville = Official Bar. "No Nashville Until 2027" went viral on TikTok.

2026: Charley Crockett at 19% share - needs similar hometown energy.

TIM: CO-FOUNDER + KING RODEO

MCR co-founder via Down Home. Satellite radio tour. Top ad performer (21.8x ROAS). Released "King Rodeo" live track + video post-event.

Tim's night passed $1M gross. Announced 2026 lineup at Vegas.

WALK-UP FACTOR: 24% of total sales (~8,400 tickets) came in final 6 days. Don't panic until Week 22-23.

Gap Analysis

Tickets Gap
~32,800
to sell out 2026 (36.3K capacity)
At Current Pace
~16,100
44% of capacity (w/ walk-up)
Need Velocity
260/day
to sell out 36.3K (vs 75 now)
Time Left
126 days
18 weeks to May 28
📊 Financial Projection (Based on v8 Budget)
V8 BUDGET SUMMARY
Budgeted Revenue (Sellout) $10.18M
Total Expenses $6.80M
Net at Sellout -$332K
2025 Net Loss -$1.46M
CURRENT PACE PROJECTION
Projected Tickets ~16,100 (44%)
Ticket Revenue ~$1.98M
Ticket Shortfall -$2.33M
Projected 2026 Loss -$2.5M to -$3M
⚠️ Key Insight: The v8 budget projects a loss even at 100% sellout. Most expenses are fixed (talent $1.37M, production $830K, venue $605K). At 44% capacity, the shortfall in ticket revenue alone (~$2.3M) drives projected losses to $2.5-3M.

Strategic Action Plan: How to Close the Gap

Velocity Scenarios: Paths to Different Outcomes
CURRENT PACE
75/day → 16.1K
44% • -$2.5M loss
2X VELOCITY
150/day → 25K
69% • -$1.2M loss
3X VELOCITY
225/day → 32K
88% • -$500K loss
SELL OUT 2026
260/day → 36.3K
100% • -$332K loss
PRIORITY 1
Charley Crockett Night: Emergency Intervention Needed
CHARLEY'S SHARE
19%
670 tickets vs 1,400+ others
The Problem: In 2025, Jelly Roll (Night 2) drove 43% of presale. Charley is at 19% - half the momentum of the other nights.
SPECIFIC ACTIONS
1. Americana/Indie Channel Push
Charley's audience isn't mainstream country radio. Target: Americana podcasts, indie country playlists, Texas/roots music outlets. His 10-album catalog and "classic country revival" story resonates with different demos.
2. "Texas to Tennessee" Campaign
Charley is from Texas. Lean into Texas pride - partner with Texas country stations, rodeo communities. "Bring Texas to Nashville's Rodeo" messaging. Texas market was NOT in 2025 radio buy.
3. Venue Takeover / Nashville Residency
Jelly Roll had Goodnight Nashville as Official Bar. Find Charley's equivalent - a honky-tonk partnership, Robert's Western World tie-in, or Station Inn (bluegrass venue) collab.
4. Bundle Discount: "Charley + Miranda" or "Charley + Jon"
Offer 15-20% discount for buying 2-night packages that include Charley's night. Use his night to drive overall volume.
PRIORITY 2
Manufacture Viral Moments (2025 Had 3 Major Ones)
2025: TRAILBLAZER @ ACMS
Reba + Miranda + Lainey debut → 2.6M streams
2026 OPPORTUNITY: Miranda is already connected to this song. Can she debut NEW music or a collab AT MCR 2026? Or at ACM/CMA 2026 with MCR branding?
2025: REBA SURPRISE GUESTS
Miranda + Lainey appeared unannounced → social explosion
2026 OPPORTUNITY: Tease surprise guests for Miranda's night. "Who will Miranda bring out?" campaign. Could Tim McGraw appear? Reba return?
2025: JELLY ROLL TIKTOK
"No Nashville until 2027" announcement went viral
2026 OPPORTUNITY: Give artists a "moment" to announce something FROM the MCR stage. Jon Pardi new album? Charley tour announcement? Something TikTok-worthy.
PRIORITY 3
Accelerate Ad Spend NOW (2025's Presale Was Organic)
THE PROBLEM
2025's presale burst (9,080 in 2 days) was driven by organic Jelly Roll demand, not ads. The $1.08M revenue on Mar 5 came with only $1,651 ad spend.
2026 doesn't have that same organic demand engine. Miranda, Charley, and Jon are great artists but don't have Jelly Roll's Nashville-native viral energy. You need to BUY what 2025 got for free.
RECOMMENDED AD ACCELERATION
Current daily spend ~$400/day (maintenance)
2025 Week 1 push $5,600/day peak
Recommended NOW $2,000-3,000/day
At 7.6x ROAS (2025 rate), $2,500/day = $19K daily revenue = ~155 tickets/day. That doubles current velocity.
PRIORITY 4
Create Urgency: Flash Sales & Limited Offers
FEB 14
Valentine's Flash Sale
"Date Night at the Rodeo" - Buy 2, get 15% off. 48-hour window.
MAR 1-7
Anniversary Week
1-year since 2025 on-sale. "Founder's Pricing" - early bird rates return for 1 week.
APR 1
60-Day Countdown
Last chance for Family Packs at 25% off. Group sales push.
MAY 1
Final Month Push
"Last 500 tickets per night" scarcity messaging (if true).
2025 Playbook → 2026 Action Items
CONTENT THAT WORKED IN 2025
Tim McGraw video liner → 27 purchases, 21.8x ROAS
Reba video liner → 22 purchases, 15.2x ROAS
"This or That" with McGraw → engagement driver
Ed Sheeran callout with McGraw → crossover reach
Hot Ones with Ernest + cowboys → viral format
2026 CONTENT NEEDED (NOT YET CREATED)
Miranda Lambert video liner (highest demand artist)
Charley Crockett "story" content (10 albums, classic country revival)
Jon Pardi "party" content (his brand is fun/drinking songs)
Cowboy interview content (2026 athletes: Webster, Tuckness)
Tim McGraw "co-founder" content (he's still involved)
Quick Wins: Immediate Actions (Next 2 Weeks)
Action Owner Expected Impact Cost
Triple daily Meta ad spend ($400 → $1,200) Media buyer +50 tickets/day (at 7.6x ROAS) $800/day increase
Launch "Charley Crockett Discovery" campaign on Spotify/Americana channels Media buyer Reach his actual audience $500/day
Get Miranda Lambert video liner created + deployed Content team Match Tim's 21.8x ROAS performance Production cost
Activate Tim McGraw for 2026 promotion (he's co-founder) Artist relations Free media, credibility $0
Launch Valentine's Day Flash Sale (Feb 14) Marketing Urgency spike, 500+ tickets 15% discount cost
Announce 2-night bundle discount (any night + Charley = 20% off) Ticketing Lift Charley while driving volume 20% discount cost